830 长江流域资源与环境 第17卷
[15] KellerW.Internationaltechnologyspillover[Z].NBER,
workingpaper,No8573,2001.
[16] 赖明勇,张 新,彭水军,等.经济增长的源泉:人力资本、研究
开发与技术外溢[J].中国社会科学,2005,(2):32~46.
ronmentalKuznetsCurve[J].JournalofEconomicPerspec-tives,2002,16(1):147~168.
[14] 李子奈,叶阿忠.高等计量经济学[M].北京:清华大学出版
社,2000.9.
URBANIZATIONANDENVIRONMENTALPOLLUTION:
EMPIRICALSTUDYBASEDONPROVINCIAL
PANELDATAOFCHINA
DUJiang,LIUYu
(CollegeofEconomicManagement,HuazhongAgriculturalUniversity,Wuhan430070,China)
Abstract:Withtheextensionofthehypothesisof/EnvironmentalKuznetsCurve0,thispaperestablishedeconometricmodelsthroughcorrelatingsixkindsofpollutionindicatorswithurbanizationlevelandcon-trolledvariables.Byusingpaneldatafromthirtyprovinces(citiesandmunicipalities)ofChinafrom1998to2005,authorsconductedempiricalstudywiththehelpofEviewssoftwarepackage.Resultsdemonstra-tedthatinverted-Ushaperelationshipwasfoundbetweenfourkindsofpollutantindicatorsandurbaniza-tionlevel,andothertwokindsofindicatorshaveUshaperelationshipwithurbanizationlevel.Atpresent,Chinahasmovedtotherightpartofthecurvesasawhole.Duetothedevelopmentdisparitiesexistingamongregions,everyprovincemovestotherightpartofthecurvesatdifferenttimes.Withtheintroduc-tionofcontrolledvariablestotheeconometricmodel,theestimatedresultsshowedthatturning-pointofsomecurvesaswellastheUcurverelationshipbetweensomepollutantindicatorsandurbanizationlevelallchanged.Foreigntradedoesnotnecessarilyresultinenvironmentaldeterioration,andtheso-calledpollu-tionhavenhypothesisdoesnotexistinChina.Thechangeinindustrialstructureisanimportantfactorcausingenvironmentalpollution.ThedecreaseofenergyconsumptionperunitofGDPinducedbytechno-logicalprogresscanalleviatethepressureofenvironmentalpollution.Fastereconomicgrowthwillgiverisetomoresevereenvironmentalpollution.
Keywords:urbanization;EnvironmentalKuznetsCurve;paneldata;empiricalstudy